The biggest flaw for college football’s 2023 national championship contenders

The 2023 school soccer season begins on Saturday and many of the standard suspects are thought-about the favorites to contend for the nationwide championship.

There hasn’t been a lot parity atop the rankings in current seasons, however these groups aren’t fully flawless.

Under, we spotlight the most important query marks and factors of uncertainty surrounding the highest 10 groups within the preseason AP High 25 coming into the season.

(Odds by way of BetMGM)

Georgia

AP ballot rating: 1

Nationwide championship odds: +225

There was no championship hangover for Georgia final fall. The Bulldogs misplaced a lot expertise from 2021, however had been simply as dominant in 2022. Will that be the case once more in 2023?

On the heels of consecutive nationwide titles, it’s exhausting to essentially nitpick the state of the roster. However there are just a few minor considerations.

The apparent one is the inexperience at quarterback. Carson Beck was named the starter over the weekend to succeed Stetson Bennett. Beck has by no means began a recreation and has solely seen motion throughout rubbish time. There’s additionally the truth that offensive coordinator Todd Monken took an NFL job and Mike Bobo is now again within the OC chair. The Bulldogs are principally loaded on the talent positions, however will the brand new mixture of Beck and Bobo be in sync?

The well being of Georgia’s operating again group has additionally been a little bit of a storyline this offseason. Kendall Milton has been coping with a hamstring damage, whereas Branson Robinson damage his foot throughout the spring. Moreover, Andrew Paul is coming off a torn ACL.

On protection final yr, Georgia seamlessly changed eight gamers who had been drafted into the NFL, together with 5 first-rounders. This yr, UGA has to switch 5 starters, together with Jalen Carter, Nolan Smith and Robert Beal up entrance. That’s one place group that Kirby Sensible has stated doesn’t have the identical depth as in years previous.

“We’re not as deep as we have been,” Sensible stated Saturday after UGA’s second scrimmage of the preseason. “You are making an attempt to develop the youthful gamers and get your older gamers to play at a better stage. With out having the identical depth that we had final yr, we will need to be in higher form, and we have to get the freshmen able to play.”

Georgia coach Kirby Sensible speaks with Alabama coach Nick Saban earlier than the SEC title recreation on Dec. 4, 2021. (AP)

Michigan

AP ballot rating: 2

Nationwide championship odds: +800

After back-to-back CFP semifinal losses, Michigan is trying to recover from the hump and win a nationwide title this season. There are just a few areas that would maintain the Wolverines again.

At the start, Michigan wants J.J. McCarthy to take a step ahead in his second season because the beginning quarterback. McCarthy must be extra constant as a passer, particularly throwing downfield in apparent passing conditions. McCarthy excelled in play-action and wasn’t relied on to throw downfield a lot with UM’s operating recreation being so dominant.

For McCarthy to take his recreation to the subsequent stage, the Wolverines want just a few receivers to emerge with Ronnie Bell shifting on to the NFL. Bell was McCarthy’s prime goal by a big margin and there’s no apparent candidate to be Michigan’s No. 1 wideout. Maybe the targets will probably be unfold extra evenly amongst guys like Cornelius Johnson, Roman Wilson, Tyler Morris and tight finish Colston Loveland.

On protection, Michigan’s entrance seven is loaded however the group’s second outdoors nook spot is price monitoring. Will Johnson will begin on one aspect after rising as a star as a freshman and Mike Sainristil is a mainstay on the nickel spot. Sainristil might transfer outdoors, however the Michigan workers is hoping anyone like Amorion Walker or UMass switch Josh Wallace can step as much as begin reverse Johnson.

AP ballot rating: 3

Nationwide championship odds: +700

Ohio State is breaking in a brand new beginning quarterback after C.J. Stroud was picked second general. Whether or not it’s Kyle McCord or Devin Brown, OSU coach Ryan Day has a monitor document of creating QBs and it’s telling that the Buckeyes didn’t search for a starter within the switch market. Meaning the coaches are assured in what they’ve.

Having an absurdly gifted assortment of gamers on the talent positions will assist whoever finally ends up beginning at QB, so long as that QB stays upright. Ohio State noticed three offensive line starters from final season get drafted, together with tackles Paris Johnson and Dawand Jones. The Buckeyes return Donovan Jackson and Matt Jones on the guard spots, however there will probably be new starters at middle and left and proper sort out.

The sort out spots are of explicit concern. OSU introduced in two Group of 5 transfers — Josh Simmons from San Diego State and Victor Cutler from UL Monroe. Cutler is anticipated to be a backup however Simmons has reportedly been the starter at left sort out throughout preseason camp. Simmons was only a redshirt freshman at SDSU final yr and began at proper sort out. Now he’ll apparently be relied upon to guard his QB’s blindside for a possible nationwide title contender. That’s asking loads.

At proper sort out, Josh Fryar is the projected starter. Fryar, a senior, has been considered one of OSU’s key backups however has began only one profession recreation. He was the first-team left sort out throughout spring, however the OSU workers nonetheless sought assist in the portal and moved him to the best aspect. That doesn’t encourage a lot confidence.

Alabama

AP ballot rating: 4

Nationwide championship odds: +600

From Jalen Hurts to Tua Tagovailoa to Mac Jones after which Bryce Younger, Alabama has been extremely blessed at quarterback. However the place is now a significant query mark coming into the 2023 season.

Jalen Milroe and Ty Simpson had been Younger’s backups in 2022 they usually took the majority of the first-team reps throughout spring follow. Nick Saban evidently was not thrilled with what he noticed, so he added Tyler Buchner from Notre Dame after the spring.

Alabama’s new offensive coordinator Tommy Rees spent the final six seasons at Notre Dame, so he’s very acquainted with Buchner. On the similar time, Rees was nonetheless teaching with the Irish after they recruited Sam Hartman out of the portal to be their starter as an alternative of Buchner.

Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) drops back to pass against Texas A&M during the second half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. (AP Photo/Vasha Hunt)

Alabama quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) drops again to move towards Texas A&M throughout the second half of an NCAA school soccer recreation, Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. (AP Photograph/Vasha Hunt)

There is no such thing as a apparent reply in Tuscaloosa. Milroe confirmed unimaginable athleticism however struggled with ball safety when he performed for an injured Younger final season. Simpson is in simply his second season on campus and brings a unique skill-set than Milroe. Buchner was used typically as a runner in South Bend however struggled as a passer.

On the entire, it’s not a perfect scenario for a group as gifted as Alabama. Whoever takes care of the ball and runs the offense essentially the most effectively will doubtless win the job. And Saban isn’t afraid to make any adjustments he deems essential. This QB saga might linger into the season.

LSU

AP ballot rating: 5

Nationwide championship odds: +1200

LSU stunned by successful the SEC West in its first season beneath Brian Kelly. Now there are main expectations for the Tigers coming into 2023, however there are just a few place teams that would probably maintain them again.

On offense, the operating again room stays unsettled with eight scholarship backs competing for carries. However the primary concern is the secondary, significantly at cornerback. It’s a transfer-heavy unit with Zy Alexander from Southeastern Louisiana and Duce Chestnut from Syracuse being the primary two additions to know. Whereas Texas A&M switch Denver Harris — a one-time five-star recruit — acquired quite a lot of offseason consideration, Alexander and Chestnut are projected to start out on the surface.

Sage Ryan has primarily been a rotational participant at LSU however is anticipated to have a a lot larger position. Harris missed a part of fall camp because of “private issues” and is additional down the depth chart than most anticipated. One other switch, JK Johnson from Ohio State, injured his leg and goes to be sidelined for awhile.

At security, returning starters Greg Brooks and Main Burns are actually strong, and Tulane switch Andre Sam ought to see the sector fairly a bit too. However like at nook, the depth is a little bit of a priority and a few underclassmen might be compelled into motion if there are accidents.

USC

AP ballot rating: 6

Nationwide championship odds: +1400

The necessity for defensive enchancment for USC is apparent because it enters Yr 2 beneath Lincoln Riley. Apart from a knack for inflicting turnovers, the Trojans had been horrific final yr, permitting 6.53 yards per play. That ranked No. 124 out of 131 FBS groups, and USC was dangerous in any respect ranges. Even easy fundamentals like tackling had been a battle, but Riley opted to stay with defensive coordinator Alex Grinch for an additional yr.

Grinch was the topic of criticism courting again to his days with Riley at Oklahoma, however he ought to have a lot better personnel to work with in 2023. USC attacked the switch portal exhausting and upgraded at practically each place. Couple the newcomers with the very best of final yr’s group, and you can see a much-improved USC defensive unit.

On offense, the return of Heisman-winning QB Caleb Williams masks quite a lot of points. However the USC offensive line was mediocre at finest final yr and the group may even be counting on transfers this fall. USC opens with San Jose State on Saturday, and there are reportedly just a few battles up entrance that also must be settled — left guard and proper sort out.

Fortunately, USC’s early season schedule is fairly straightforward and may give the teaching workers time to determine the very best 5 up entrance.

Penn State

AP ballot rating: 7

Nationwide championship odds: +2200

Penn State ought to have the most effective defenses within the nation. But when the Nittany Lions wish to surge previous Michigan and Ohio State within the Huge Ten East, they should reply some questions on their offense.

After 4 years with Sean Clifford beginning at QB, PSU will flip the reins over to sophomore Drew Allar. Allar was considered one of prime QB recruits in program historical past, and followers are hoping he may help propel this system to the subsequent stage. He’s 6-foot-5 and 240-plus kilos, and PSU well acquired him motion in eight video games final fall. He has a better ceiling than Clifford, however he’s nonetheless a younger participant who might expertise some rising pains.

There’s additionally the truth that PSU’s receiving group seems to be fairly underwhelming. Keandre Lambert-Smith caught an 88-yard landing within the Rose Bowl final fall, however hasn’t performed a lot to show that he’s able to be a No. 1 receiver. Harrison Wallace, who caught 19 passes for 273 yards final yr, is anticipated to be the opposite starter on the surface. The speedy Omari Evans might have a job, too.

Kent State switch Dante Cephas appeared on quite a lot of “prime switch” lists this offseason, however has been reportedly working with the second-team offense throughout camp. You’ll be able to have a look at that two methods. Both he’s had hassle transitioning right into a big-time program, or gamers like Wallace and Evans have taken huge leaps ahead and are able to emerge as Huge Ten-level gamers.

Penn State quarterback Drew Allar (15) looks to pass against Ohio during the second half of an NCAA college football game , Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in State College, Pa. (AP Photo/Barry Reeger)

Penn State quarterback Drew Allar (15) appears to be like to move towards Ohio throughout the second half of an NCAA school soccer recreation , Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in State School, Pa. (AP Photograph/Barry Reeger)

Florida State

AP ballot rating: 8

Nationwide championship odds: +1800

After 5 consecutive lackluster seasons, Florida State made the leap again to 10 wins in 2022. Does this FSU group have an excellent larger step ahead? FSU has been one of many most-hyped groups of the offseason; it may be powerful to go from a group being doubted to at least one with a ton of expectations.

Mike Norvell has performed a terrific job upgrading the expertise on this roster, however do the Seminoles have sufficient to compete with the nation’s finest? With the offensive line lastly a place of energy, there aren’t any apparent weaknesses on this roster. However there are just a few place teams that seem fairly mediocre and others that lack depth.

Each Jared Verse and Patrick Payton, final yr’s ACC Defensive Rookie of the Yr, are again at defensive finish. Gilber Edmond was a strong addition from South Carolina, however there’s little or no confirmed depth behind these three. FSU additionally isn’t very deep at linebacker and it’s going to be powerful changing Jammie Robinson at security.

To be clear, this group is excellent however it’s price questioning if there’s sufficient top-end expertise for the Seminoles to fulfill a few of the CFP projections which were on the market this offseason.

Clemson

AP ballot rating: 9

Nationwide championship odds: +1800

Clemson made six consecutive CFP appearances between 2015 and 2020 with two nationwide championships. However within the final two seasons, Clemson has not performed as much as that commonplace — significantly on offense.

Dabo Swinney has been immune to hiring outdoors of his teaching tree, however he relented and introduced in Garrett Riley from TCU to run the offense. It ought to be an improve from the unimaginative scheme that the Tigers have used lately, however it’s nonetheless a “consider it once we see it” situation for Clemson.

That’s very true when the Tigers are working in a brand new QB and are largely unproven at receiver. Cade Klubnik confirmed flashes of excellence final yr in restricted motion, however he additionally seemed like an overwhelmed freshman in Clemson’s Orange Bowl loss to Tennessee.

For Clemson to get again to the CFP, Klubnik must dwell as much as the hype and get some assist from his receivers. Antonio Williams and Beaux Collins are anticipated to be the highest targets with Cole Turner and Adam Randall within the combine. Williams, only a sophomore, has proven essentially the most of that group.

Moreover, Clemson goes to want to beat main losses on the defensive position. The Tigers are deep within the center and have some veteran pass-rushers however are going to want some younger guys to make an affect straight away.

Washington

AP ballot rating: 10

Nationwide championship odds: +4000

Washington went from 4-8 in 2021 to 11-2 in 2022, its first season beneath Kalen DeBoer. The Huskies ought to be glorious on offense once more, however there are some causes for concern up entrance with three offensive line starters needing to get replaced. Each beginning tackles are again, however each guards and the middle spot will probably be occupied by new starters.

On protection, Washington must be a lot better for this group to have any shot of successful the Pac-12 and reaching the CFP. The Huskies have a bunch of expertise on the defensive position, however they’re simply OK at linebacker and the secondary might be a significant weak point once more.

Washington introduced in Jabbar Muhammad from Oklahoma State to play a giant position at cornerback. In line with native experiences, he appears to have locked down a beginning spot on the surface, however the different spot might be up for grabs. There are additionally questions concerning the expertise of the security group.

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