Will Brock Purdy, 49ers (and fantasy managers) overcome Week 6 losses?

5 issues I care about

The Josh Allen-to-Stefon Diggs connection

I want each mega-talent quarterback had a large receiver he may belief with full, unstated confidence in high-leverage conditions. I want each elite route runner had a quarterback who may rifle him the ball at each degree of the sector. If you realize something about my work, you know the way a lot I imply that second half.

The truth that Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs had been introduced collectively on the excellent level in every of their respective careers is one thing past soccer perfection. It appears like future. They’ve been collectively for years now, however we must always by no means cease appreciating it.

The Payments’ Week 6 all-too-close win over the New York Giants was simply one other reminder of why their connection is so immaculate.

Allen was off early. There isn’t a getting round it. Bobby Okereke was flying round all evening. Giants defensive coordinator Wink Martindale did an important job altering the image on Allen post-snap. New York incessantly confirmed blitz and Cowl 1 seems on the snaps solely to drop again off into heavy-coverage seems.

Finally what received them out of the bind is the inspiration of their workforce: the Allen-to-Diggs connection.

Buffalo took “simply throw to your good participant” to the acute; not that anybody may fault them. Allen threw to Diggs 16 instances out of 30. Greater than half of his passes went to the All-Professional wideout. Diggs in the end introduced in 10 of them for 100 yards. Diggs is simply all the time open and practically unstoppable on cease, comeback and curl routes. Nobody tortures defensive backs in man protection fairly like Diggs. The truth that he has a quarterback with such a degree of arm expertise he can pin it on him at any level in a route’s break is solely unfair.

We regularly discuss a participant’s potential to make a play name proper. Allen and Diggs aren’t usually incorrect individually however paired collectively, they every have the potential to make one another look innocent on any given play.

On an evening the place many issues went incorrect for the Payments, it was their two star gamers that carried them out of the storm, one resulting in a attainable upset. The Payments face extra questions as accidents mount on protection and a few of their offensive personnel tweaks nonetheless want time to bear fruit. So long as they’ve these two in place, there may be solely a lot concern that’s warranted.

The 49ers battleship takes hits

The 49ers suffered their first defeat of the season, Brock Purdy’s first of his regular-season profession, and the sport wasn’t all they misplaced.

Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel each left the sport with accidents. McCaffrey tried to return however ultimately left once more; Samuel felt like a longshot to return from the second he left. Shedding one or each gamers can be a significant blow to this offense. Even when the 49ers are as spoiled as any workforce within the NFL with their array of weapons, they put groups in a whole bind with the layers of distinctive skills they will throw at you. Begin taking away items they usually go from a juggernaut to easily a “nice” unit.

Not the worst place to search out your self, however there’s a ceiling shaving impact.

We all know in fantasy soccer that when one of many receivers misses, the opposite can dominate. We noticed that happen when Brandon Aiyuk missed Week 3 and Samuel had simply his greatest sport of the season. Aiyuk drew a team-high 10 targets towards a tough Browns protection and Purdy missed him for a handful extra deep pictures. His day may have been even greater. Aiyuk was already creeping up the receiver ranks and any form of consolidation of targets on his behalf would solely enhance his outlook.

As nice a participant as Samuel is, the McCaffrey damage is way more regarding for the general well being of the offense. We regularly level to Purdy’s ascension because the turning level for the Kyle Shanahan 49ers. And he did elevate the unit to better heights than his predecessors. Nonetheless, San Francisco’s offense took a leap the second McCaffrey landed on the town and was absolutely built-in into the workforce.

McCaffrey permits them to run extra hole and energy schemes on the bottom. He runs alternative routes that make Purdy extra comfy within the movement of the sport. Describing him as a mere security blanket cheapens his impression to the aerial assault.

I feel we could also be previous the times of Elijah Mitchell because the clear-cut backup to McCaffrey. Fantasy managers could also be taking a look at a break up between Mitchell and Jordan Mason — who has run fairly effectively this yr and been accessible extra usually — if not an outright RB1 position for the latter. Make no mistake, neither of them will come near affecting the sport like McCaffrey, I don’t care what number of fantasy factors they’d theoretically gather.

The 49ers shedding their first sport isn’t nice for the workforce. Nonetheless, it permits an opportunity to mirror on the principle purpose. It’s a Tremendous Bowl-or-bust season in San Francisco. McCaffrey lacking time would ding the projections for this offense. Nonetheless, in the event that they certainly should endure that, Shanahan and co. would a lot fairly take that ding now than in January.

Jalen Hurts is simply off

It’s exhausting to pinpoint precisely what’s at play right here. The Eagles have a brand new offensive coordinator and play-caller. However Brian Johnson was within the constructing final yr and has identified Hurts endlessly. It’s exhausting to say that’s the only real cause. Possibly it’s swinging again on the opposite aspect of variance.

Both approach, there’s simply no getting round it: Jalen Hurts isn’t enjoying his greatest soccer thus far this yr.

That’s to not say he’s been really poor. Hurts ranks sixteenth in adjusted internet yards per try amongst quarterbacks with 60-plus passes. He’s been as dynamic within the floor sport as ever however he’s thrown seven touchdowns to seven picks. Hurts has been someplace from common to barely beneath.

It stings more durable this week as a result of, for my part, this loss to the Jets was Hurts’ worst day of the season. He was constantly off the mark downfield and threw open receivers into contested conditions by being late to ship the ball. His three picks had been brutal, particularly the final one which the Jets took again into scoring territory and in the end price the Eagles the sport.

The Eagles have constantly been in a position to get A.J. Brown the ball and he’s as dominant as any receiver within the sport. The remaining has not absolutely gone to rot however is lagging behind the torrid tempo they maintained final season.

Once more, I’m not saying it’s all on Hurts and I don’t have a great rationalization for what’s up nor a treatment for what ails. That doesn’t change the outcomes and, within the wake of the Eagles’ first loss, it’s a harsh reminder what’s occurred thus far isn’t ok for a Tremendous Bowl-hopeful operation.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

The mark of an important workforce is whenever you take away their first punch, they will hit you again with one thing even higher.

David Montgomery and the facility run sport have been the id of Lions to begin 2023. So it was regarding when Montgomery left the sport within the first half after a mere six carries for 14 yards. Within the wake of his absence, the Lions didn’t simply hold making an attempt to make the run sport work — Craig Reynolds subbed in and carried the ball 10 instances for 15 yards — as an alternative they took to the air and ran the offense by means of their greatest participant.

Amon-Ra St. Brown returned from lacking final week and dealt with a whopping 34% goal share. He had greater than double the yards of anybody else on the workforce. He made performs deep downfield and was his typical elite self after the catch.

St. Brown is such a improbable participant. He’s able to being the central gravitational power for this offense. We’ve seen it earlier than. Whereas he’s taken a small again seat to the highlight shining shiny on Montgomery and the bottom sport, there’s no mistaking who’s essentially the most dynamic participant on this offense. Jared Goff is aware of his prime receiver is a top-tier zone protection dominator and appears to get higher each week at defeating man protection in tight areas.

The Lions proceed to get good play out of different pass-catchers on this roster. Even the enigmatic Jameson Williams popped up for a 45-yard landing. Extra of that will likely be nice. Nonetheless, St. Brown stays the straw that stirs the drink.

Raheem Mostert

We had been all rightly disillusioned with the information of rookie De’Von Achane occurring IR earlier this week. He introduced an explosive component to this offense that didn’t want any further pop.

Week 6 served as a reminder to not neglect concerning the man who began this working sport revival down there in Miami.

After scoring thrice towards the hapless Panthers — as soon as by means of the air and twice on the bottom — Raheem Mostert now has an absurd 11 whole touchdowns on the season. He’s now the RB2 total on the season, trailing solely the nice Christian McCaffrey.

You actually can’t say sufficient good issues about Mostert proper now. It’s simply so unfair for this offense to have the ability to hand off to a again and get 6.8 yards per carry. That comes on a day when Miami was a contact sluggish to get out of the gate. Mostert has been a supply of steadiness and consistency for a workforce that has larger booms than any unit within the NFL. He’s additionally including to the large performs and has legitimately been a matchup weapon down within the crimson zone as a receiver.

Mostert is a lesson for fantasy drafters to all the time take pictures at working backs in nice ecosystems. Mostert was a particularly late riser in the summertime once we received information that Jeff Wilson Jr. was occurring IR. Previous to that although, he was nearly utterly free in drafts. Few managers are getting a much bigger bang for his or her buck than those that took the plunge with Mostert late.

5 issues I don’t care about

Taking something away from Tyrod Taylor

I drafted numerous Daniel Jones in fantasy soccer. Don’t really feel unhealthy for me, he was a Tenth- or Eleventh-round decide I’ve lengthy since moved on from at this stage. These picks don’t make or break you; they’re replaceable guys on this pretend sport.

I didn’t even make the decide with a lot conviction on Jones the participant. Positive, he’s a confirmed fantasy scorer as a result of he can run nevertheless it was extra that I believed the Giants offense may take one other step from the unit it was in 2022 after including just a few pass-catchers to the combination.

The “good bones” offense from final yr by no means really had an opportunity to develop because the offensive line fell aside on Jones to an nearly non-functional diploma. I get that. Nonetheless, I’m unsure what to make of the truth that it was backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor who supplied the closest factor we’ve seen to essentially the most actualized model of what I believed we’d see in 2023.

To be clear, I’ve all the time been an enormous fan of Taylor. I bear in mind predicting he’d begin for the Payments approach again in 2015 as I’d been accustomed to his sport since Virginia Tech. He’s not a particular expertise however he’s carried out admirably in powerful spots all through his profession. I believed there was even an opportunity he’d begin video games for them in 2022 when he signed in free company, however Jones asserted himself because the starter shortly.

So I’m not that stunned Taylor performed effectively however you must admit it’s placing to see something near competent offense in a Giants uniform this season. It forces me to ask questions, a minimum of.

Taylor was removed from excellent. He deserves a great share — not 100% — of the blame for a disastrous play on the purpose line to finish the second quarter. Nonetheless, he stood assured in crumbling pockets and pushed the ball downfield when it made sense, and checked down out of hurt’s approach when it didn’t. You may throw “sport supervisor” on him nevertheless it’s felt like somebody wanted to handle the sport for New York all season lengthy.

Clearly, I’m a Tyrod Taylor fan. So I simply need to give him his due on this spot. Greater than probably, Jones will begin for the Giants as quickly as attainable and this evening of “nearly” for Taylor will likely be forgotten. On the very least, let’s hope some form of optimistic could be drawn from what Taylor did on this offense and could be transmitted over to when Jones returns to his QB1 spot.

‘The 49ers misplaced the sport, the Browns didn’t win it’

I’m positive you’ll see this logic floated round NFL areas within the subsequent 24 hours. As I stated above, it does advantage frustration when a head coach performs conservatively for the sector purpose in a late-game scenario and tempts destiny like Kyle Shanahan did. That stated, the Browns earned this win and nobody ought to try and assign an asterisk within the wake of the 49ers’ accidents.

For starters, the Browns themselves are fairly banged up. They’re lacking their greatest participant on offense in Nick Chubb and a number of beginning offensive linemen, and most significantly, they had been beginning their third quarterback of the season.

P.J. Walker was someway much more of a problem for the Browns than his 45.2 passer ranking would point out. He was a catastrophe on first down, going 5-of-13 for 36 yards. His 38.5% completion fee and a couple of.77 yards per try on first down had been comfortably the worst amongst quarterbacks within the early window. Walker saved a few of his most troubling play for the ultimate drive the place he missed a wide-open Elijah Moore a number of instances for chunk beneficial properties and threw a mindless move within the crimson zone that was practically picked however stopped the clock for the 49ers both approach.

I’m not saying all this to bag on Walker, nevertheless it helps illustrate the purpose that the Browns had been simply as, if not much more, hampered than the 49ers and nonetheless received this sport. They’re a tricky workforce.

Cleveland’s protection hawked Brock Purdy within the passing sport all afternoon and made his life tough. He was underneath stress and that rattled him into some misses downfield to Brandon Aiyuk. Purdy threw 18.5% of his passes into tight home windows, per Subsequent Gen Stats. For context, he was at 12.5% throughout his dynamic Sunday evening win over Dallas final week. He got here away with the second-worst completion proportion over anticipated amongst Week 6 quarterbacks. Solely Russell Wilson on Thursday evening completed decrease than Purdy’s -11.6%.

There’s a lot potential with this Browns workforce. The protection is realizing that and helped them win this sport. Even with out Chubb, the offense could be a plus unit if Deshaun Watson can return and recapture one thing near his previous type.

The Vikings’ win

The Vikings received the win over the division rival Bears, however I’m unsure they will really feel nice about their offensive efficiency. Their greatest play got here on a defensive scoop-and-score when Bears backup quarterback Tyson Bagent misplaced a fumble on a sack in reduction responsibility for an injured Justin Fields.

The offense’s 4.0 yards per play weren’t too inspiring.

Head coach Kevin O’Connell shared similar frustrations after the game. He felt wonderful about quarterback Kirk Cousins’ efficiency regardless of 5.3 yards per move try, however was underwhelmed by what was round him. Comprehensible. With out Justin Jefferson, there’s only a actual lack of explosive components within the assault.

T.J. Hockenson led the workforce in targets with eight however he’s by no means been a downfield risk for this workforce. Rookie Jordan Addison discovered the top zone however didn’t present he’s able to be an NFL WR1 simply but, even towards a tender secondary. The Vikings haven’t obtained massive performs out of the bottom sport at any level this season, and there was no cause to count on that to alter when a sport plan-dictating presence in Jefferson is wiped off the board.

Jefferson isn’t simply one other participant. He’s a transformative expertise. Once you lose a participant like that, you may’t simply efficiently, seamlessly transfer everybody else up a peg until you’ve particular skills behind that man. Regardless of the numbers this workforce was placing up by means of the air earlier this season and the capital to amass a number of the complementary items, the Vikings don’t have anybody able to assume that mantle simply but.

Ravens’ passing sport hype

The Titans are one of many greatest pass-funnel defenses within the NFL. They clamp down on speeding assaults and have main points masking receivers on the again finish.

With that in thoughts, I didn’t have the Ravens handing off to their rag-tag group of working backs 24 instances and Lamar Jackson dealing with a season-high seven designed runs on my bingo card. The oft-aggressive John Harbaugh opted to take the factors when in discipline purpose conditions and performed it protected on fourth-down choices. It was an altogether conservative operation.

However the extra you concentrate on it, the extra that is sensible. For all of the digital ink spilled on the Baltimore Ravens’ passing sport, it is a league-average unit at greatest proper now.

The teaching improve has been tangible on the offensive workers. Todd Monken has put in good movement they usually’re spreading the sector. That’s really introduced dividends within the run sport, as Jackson has discovered way more favorable speeding lanes when he scrambles or has a designed run than the condensed formations of the Greg Roman offense. The issue within the passing sport is the dearth of consistency within the receiving division.

Zay Flowers has been a pleasant choice as a rookie, even when his utilization is a bit everywhere in the map. He’s both used on pure vertical targets or beneath targets and designed seems within the display sport. There hasn’t been sufficient within the intermediate space. Mark Andrews has been his typical strong self, even when he’s leaving a play or two on the sector each sport. It falls off after that.

The signing of Odell Beckham Jr. and the rehab of Rashod Bateman had been massive offseason storylines. To date, neither participant has been in a position to string collectively optimistic moments and they’re really splitting reps on the X-receiver spot.

Bateman has been on the incorrect finish of some catastrophe performs the final two weeks and hasn’t been in a position to get open downfield. Beckham stays a wonderful technician however there’s a seen lack of juice in his legs. Each of these issues make sense when you think about the long-term and up to date damage historical past for each males. Beckham could by no means recapture the explosive component in his sport, and any momentum Bateman constructed earlier in his profession has been thrown asunder extra usually than we are able to rely. It’s left the Ravens able the place they should rely on Nelson Agholor, who was signed to be a depth piece.

I’m not saying Jackson has been excellent. Nor do I need to be grasping and rush outcomes from a passing sport that’s breaking in a ton of latest layers and has loads of reputable causes for not lighting up the scoreboard. I simply assume it’s previous time we settle for the fact of this workforce’s aerial assault and the place it stands proper now. I nonetheless consider there’s a ceiling current for this offense however we’re in “must see it to consider it” territory.

Non-Garrett Wilson, Breece Corridor Jets

I don’t care, you don’t must care, as a result of fortunately, it seems the parents on the controls care about them the suitable quantity.

That’s to say, Zach Wilson views the non-Garrett Wilson pass-catchers as deep fall-back choices to his most important man in No. 17. And the teaching workers meant what they stated just a few weeks in the past concerning the leash being absolutely off Breece Corridor.

Garrett Wilson drew a goal on 12 of Zach Wilson’s 33 throws. No different tight finish or working again was focused greater than 4 instances. Apparently, Wilson threw the ball to 10 Jets gamers in whole. It was simply extraordinarily unfold out behind Wilson. That reveals that the quarterback isn’t simply locking onto his prime goal, even when he’s throwing it at him at a particularly excessive fee. There isn’t one other goal commander, however when Wilson isn’t open on the primary learn, Zach Wilson received off him to another person.

Garrett Wilson made acrobatic catches and received in tight protection, even when he ran some blistering routes. It was a reminder that even when his stats is not going to present it on the finish of the yr, he’s the most effective younger wideouts within the sport.

Within the backfield, Breece Corridor adopted up his layup smash efficiency towards the hapless Broncos with one other outing because the workhorse. Corridor touched the ball 17 instances. Dalvin Cook dinner and Michael Carter mixed for 5. That’s the best distribution. Corridor punched within the game-winning rating — the Eagles appeared like they let that one occur — whereas making a huge impact as a receiver (10.8 yards per catch). Wanting ahead, the subsequent stretch for the Jets seems like a screaming inexperienced gentle for Corridor:

Corridor and Wilson are the way forward for this workforce. We all know that the ceiling we as soon as imagined has been out the window since 4 performs into the season. However one thing is coming collectively within the wake of what’s left behind. The younger guys on offense, Wilson and Corridor, together with a still-stout protection will likely be what carries the day. They’re all that issues.

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