Denny Hamlin is favored at Texas

It appears to be like like Joe Gibbs Racing and Hendrick Motorsports in opposition to the sphere on Sunday at Texas.

Six of the highest seven favorites for the NASCAR Cup Sequence playoff race at Texas Motor Speedway (3:30 p.m. ET, USA) are both JGR or Hendrick drivers. The seventh driver is Tyler Reddick. He drives for 23XI Motorsports, the Toyota crew co-owned by JGR driver Denny Hamlin that works carefully with JGR. Reddick additionally gained the newest intermediate monitor race at Kansas two weeks in the past.

Hamlin enters the weekend as the favourite after he gained at Bristol on Saturday evening. Hamlin has three wins at Texas and 15 top-10 finishes in 32 profession begins on the 1.5-mile monitor.

Sunday’s race can be the primary 400-mile race on the monitor. Texas has hosted 42 Cup Sequence races because it opened in 1997 and every of these races have been at the least 500 miles aside from a rain-shortened occasion in 2016. However with the final 5 races every lasting at the least 3.5 hours and the newest race on the monitor droning on for almost 4.5 hours because of myriad tire points, the race being 100 miles shorter isn’t a foul thought.

Groups will likely be operating a distinct kind of tire on the proper facet of their automobiles with the purpose of avoiding the failures that plagued final season’s race. The tire issues led to 16 cautions as over 25% of the race was run beneath yellow.

Right here’s what you’ll want to know to guess Sunday’s race. All odds are from BetMGM.

The favorites

  • Denny Hamlin (+500)

  • Kyle Larson (+600)

  • William Byron (+800)

  • Tyler Reddick (+800)

  • Martin Truex Jr. (+800)

Larson has a win and 6 top-10 finishes in 15 factors races on the monitor however his common end is 17.8. Byron has a 50% top-10 charge in eight begins whereas Reddick has the most effective common end of any lively driver. Reddick has one win, two high fives and three high 10s in 4 begins. Truex has by no means gained at Texas and has 5 high fives and 17 high 10s. Truex has completed within the high 10 9 instances at Texas since 2015 but in addition has 4 finishes of twenty fifth or worse in his final eight races on the monitor.

Good mid-tier worth

  • Kyle Busch (+1400)

  • Chris Buescher (+1600)

Busch gained this race a season in the past in his remaining days at JGR. He has 4 wins and 14 high fives in 32 begins on the monitor. Buescher hasn’t completed within the high 10 in 13 Texas begins however has proven appreciable intermediate monitor velocity just lately and also you’re going to listen to loads about how he grew up not removed from the monitor.

Don’t guess this driver

Logano has a win and 15 high 10s in 27 Texas begins and completed second to Busch a season in the past. However one thing has been off with the Crew Penske automobiles at intermediate tracks and Logano’s fifth-place end at Kansas got here due to a late two-tire pit cease.

Searching for an extended shot?

Jones has seven high 10s in 11 begins at Texas and was sixth final season. He was third at Kansas and tenth at Darlington whereas additionally ending tenth at Michigan in August. Don’t be shocked if he has one other strong run on Sunday.

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