Matt Harmon’s five most worrisome players

I believe it is going to be fairly laborious for Richardson to fail as a standalone fantasy soccer quarterback. He’s going to be sufficient of a dashing menace to be viable with a robust floor-and-ceiling mixture and get by as a QB1 or high-end QB2. You may take him if you happen to’re one of many final of us in your league to pick a quarterback. I doubt I’m going to get that unsuitable.

The place I’m extra hesitant is his capacity to assist pass-catchers in Yr 1.

I’ve made it clear that for months I’m very excessive on the Colts vast receiver trio of Michael Pittman Jr., Alec Pierce and Josh Downs from a complementary skill-set standpoint. Pittman has all of the requisite traits to be a No. 1 wideout and he’s performed at that stage for the final two seasons when isolated from quarterback play. I like all these receivers however he’s most likely the one one who can flip into an every-week starter in fantasy this season and I’ve him ranked forward of consensus. When he falls into that late sixth to seventh-round vary, I find yourself taking him nearly each time.

Whereas the uncooked quantity could come down for Pittman, the bounce in common depth of goal (a measly 7.6 final 12 months) may also help offset that. Richardson isn’t going to be a high-level passer as a rookie however he ought to be able to feed Pittman on first-read targets in an RPO-heavy offense. Nevertheless, given Richardson’s small collegiate resume and a few respectable short-area accuracy issues, I’ve to confess some hesitation in my conviction.

I hate that I’m under business consensus in rating Keenan Allen this 12 months however alas, right here we’re.

I’m skeptical of him persevering with to dominate targets in an offense that by all accounts desires to be extra vertically inclined. Allen isn’t cooked or something however his success price vs. man protection charges in Reception Notion have been in regular decline — from his persistently elite finishes from 2015 to 2020 — every of the previous few seasons. Even whereas getting back from damage final 12 months, Allen confirmed he can nonetheless get open beneath and beat zone protection however which may imply he must run out of the slot on a near-full-time foundation.

Once more, it’s powerful to sq. a participant like that proudly owning the dominant goal share he’d want to achieve his top-20 WR ADP in fantasy and the Chargers offense hitting its ceiling.

However once more, not solely am I involved I’m unsuitable about this, I’d nearly welcome it. Previous to 2022, I seen Allen as a celebrity participant and would have known as him probably the most underrated elite wideout of the final decade. Perhaps his Reception Notion pattern from final 12 months is just too injury-tainted to offer the reality. After I’m passing on Allen in drafts, that worry is on my thoughts.

Very like Allen, that is one other rating I’d welcome being incorrect. I’ve lengthy been a Chris Godwin fan and a believer in his expertise relationship again to his Penn State days. He’s been a mainstay on my hype listing and my fantasy groups through the years.

That mentioned, I’ve him ranked under business consensus and barely get him in Spherical 6 of drafts regardless of my perception in his expertise.

There are many volume-based however doubtful quarterback propositions that go round Godwin in drafts. And I simply choose the upside of the unknown for the quarterback equation of Diontae Johnson, Brandon Aiyuk and Michael Pittman sorts or ready a bit for second-year breakouts with that very same passer variable like George Pickens and Jahan Dotson.

I by no means find yourself concentrating on Godwin amongst that group just because I know who Baker Mayfield is at this level.

Mayfield has stalled out the careers of No. 1 wideouts like DJ Moore and Odell Beckham Jr. beforehand as a result of he can’t make tough throws to outdoors receivers. That is a part of the place I hesitate with Godwin as a result of we have now seen Mayfield at the very least be capable to operate with a short-area flanker/slot receiver in Jarvis Landry again in Cleveland. Godwin is mainly the souped-up model of that archetype.

If one receiver is ready to thrive with Mayfield and overcome the incoming lack of the offense’s passing quantity, it’s probably Godwin. Ought to that occur, I’ll be thrilled to see it however my rating will look unhealthy — and it gained’t occur on any of my groups.

I’ve usually been in on Alexander Mattison this draft season and am fairly proud of him as an RB2.

We’ve seen loads of the 5-foot-11, 215-pound again as Dalvin Prepare dinner’s understudy the final 4 years given the period of time the starter has missed. Mattison has averaged 19.5 carries for 79.5 dashing yards and 0.5 touchdowns together with 3.8 catches and 36 receiving yards per sport within the six contests Prepare dinner has missed since 2020. That’s not sufficient to say he’s a confirmed commodity however at the very least we’ve seen him carry the load within the NFL and be a productive participant. Working in what I believe is an efficient ecosystem in Minnesota this 12 months because the clear starter with a contract dedication from the workforce, I like betting on him as a top-18 again.

Nevertheless, I totally notice fantasy regrets have been full of backs carrying at the very least an adjoining profile to Mattison’s in years previous. Making choices based mostly on contracts, projectable quantity and “who else is there” at working again could be dicey.

I don’t assume that’s all there’s to guess on with Mattison. We’ve seen him produce earlier than and total, it’s a guess on an offense with a high quality play-caller in Kevin O’Connell and that includes one of many elite gamers no matter place in Justin Jefferson. I like aligning myself with environments like this when taking fantasy working backs.

For those who’re on the aspect of the general historical past of the working again lifeless zone on this debate, I perceive it. And I’ll admit to being barely involved about it.

I ascribe to the concept scrounging for upside must be the principle purpose of a fantasy participant, as there’s usually only a small selection of players who truly swing leagues in favor of the eventual champion. As JJ Zachariason has famous by means of the years, looking out by means of “ambiguous backfields” has been an excellent place to begin on the lookout for these gamers through the years.

The Eagles’ backfield qualifies as each an ambiguous in addition to a splendidly fruitful atmosphere to seek for manufacturing. That’s why I’m nervous I haven’t been drafting a lot of D’Andre Swift in any respect.

I’ve Swift because the top-ranked working again on the workforce, which admittedly is a change I made very just lately. And he’s nonetheless nicely under consensus ADP in my ranks. That’s all whereas figuring out that the Eagles apparently need this to be Swift’s backfield:

Swift is a proficient participant however hasn’t fairly hit his ceiling as a person and has been on and off the sector. Finally, I don’t assume he has a path to the passing-down position he as soon as owned in Detroit due to A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert’s presence. Jalen Hurts will simply take off scrambling earlier than he will get that deep within the development.

I additionally agree with Bo Wulf within the tweet above that Kenny Gainwell’s reliability finally ends up making him the Eagles again who performs probably the most. But when the Eagles get their want and Swift dominates this backfield, he’s enjoying within the precise proper workforce to make me look silly.

For those who’ve listened to the Yahoo Fantasy Soccer Present, you know the way excessive I’m on the Steelers being the worth fantasy passing sport in 2023. But, long-time listeners know the way skeptical I’m about Matt Canada’s offensive design and fundamental route mixtures. Ought to my Steelers takes age poorly, I do know who I’ll be blaming as the first offender. However I’ve hope Canada can evolve this offense simply sufficient for these pass-catchers to sing alongside a quarterback in Kenny Pickett who appears like he’s made the leap.

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